DetDeterminationG.W. Bush · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Memorandum for the Secretary of State [and] the Secretary of Energy

President Bush approved the U.S.-India nuclear cooperation agreement, waiving several Atomic Energy Act restrictions that normally apply to non-NPT states. The determination certifies India met seven statutory conditions under the 2006 Hyde Act, enabling civilian nuclear trade with India despite its nuclear weapons status.

Impact dates

  1. Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Key directives

  • Approve proposed U.S.-India nuclear cooperation agreement
  • Authorize Secretary of State to arrange for agreement execution
  • Exempt agreement from section 123 a.(2) requirement
  • Waive section 128 of Atomic Energy Act for exports to India
  • Waive subsection 129 a.(1)(D) for India
  • Waive section 129 regarding pre-July 18, 2005 actions
  • Direct Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Agreement approved and authorized for execution
  • Statutory waivers take effect
  • Secretary of State directed to publish in Federal Register

Near term (90d)

  • Secretary of State to arrange execution of agreement

Long term

  • Implementation of civilian nuclear trade with India
  • IAEA safeguards application to Indian civil facilities
  • Potential conclusion of Additional Protocol
  • India's adherence to MTCR and NSG

Risks & tensions

  • Nonproliferation tension: Waivers weaken standard U.S. legal barriers for nuclear trade with non-NPT weapon state
  • Condition 3 vagueness: 'Making substantial progress' toward Additional Protocol leaves compliance standard unclear
  • Congressional oversight risk: Hyde Act conditions are presidential determinations without independent verification mechanism specified
  • NSG consensus condition (7) was prerequisite but document does not confirm timing of that decision relative to signing
Presidential Determination: Memorandum for the Secretary of State [and] the Secretary of Energy · Executive Orders