DetDeterminationG.W. Bush · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Memorandum for the Secretary of State [and] the Secretary of Energy

In simple terms

President Bush approved the U.S.-India nuclear cooperation agreement, waiving several Atomic Energy Act restrictions that normally apply to non-NPT states. The determination certifies India met seven statutory conditions under the 2006 Hyde Act, enabling civilian nuclear trade with India despite its nuclear weapons status.

Record & deadlines

  1. Signed

    Signed by the President

  2. FR published

    Published in the Federal Register · 73 FR 54287

  3. Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Key directives

  • Approve proposed U.S.-India nuclear cooperation agreement
  • Authorize Secretary of State to arrange for agreement execution
  • Exempt agreement from section 123 a.(2) requirement
  • Waive section 128 of Atomic Energy Act for exports to India
  • Waive subsection 129 a.(1)(D) for India
  • Waive section 129 regarding pre-July 18, 2005 actions
  • Direct Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

What to expect

Immediate

  • Agreement approved and authorized for execution
  • Statutory waivers take effect
  • Secretary of State directed to publish in Federal Register

Near term (90d)

  • Secretary of State to arrange execution of agreement

Long term

  • Implementation of civilian nuclear trade with India
  • IAEA safeguards application to Indian civil facilities
  • Potential conclusion of Additional Protocol
  • India's adherence to MTCR and NSG

Risks & tensions

  • Nonproliferation tension: Waivers weaken standard U.S. legal barriers for nuclear trade with non-NPT weapon state
  • Condition 3 vagueness: 'Making substantial progress' toward Additional Protocol leaves compliance standard unclear
  • Congressional oversight risk: Hyde Act conditions are presidential determinations without independent verification mechanism specified
  • NSG consensus condition (7) was prerequisite but document does not confirm timing of that decision relative to signing
Presidential Determination: Memorandum for the Secretary of State [and] the Secretary of Energy · Executive Orders