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DetDeterminationObama · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

This presidential determination, issued under the 2012 NDAA, finds that global petroleum supplies are sufficient to allow significant reductions in Iranian oil purchases without harming oil markets. The determination maintains existing sanctions policy by continuing the exemption framework that allows countries to avoid U.S. sanctions if they significantly reduce Iranian oil imports.

Federal Register Open PDF 80 FR 32851

Impact dates

  1. Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Key directives

  • Determine sufficient non-Iranian petroleum supply exists to permit significant reduction in Iranian oil purchases
  • Continue monitoring global oil supply situation
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon issuance; sanctions exemption framework continues

Near term (90d)

  • Secretary of State to publish determination in Federal Register

Long term

  • Continued monitoring of global oil supply conditions
  • Potential future determinations based on market conditions

Risks & tensions

  • Document references 'consistent with my prior determinations' suggesting continuity rather than policy change; no explicit revocation or new sanctions imposition
  • Vague 'continue to monitor' language leaves room for future policy shifts without structural clarity
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 · Executive Orders