ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationClinton · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Eligibility of NIS Countries: Georgia, Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan To Be Furnished Defense Articles and Services Under the Foreign Assistance Act and the Arms Export Control Act

President Clinton determined that furnishing defense articles and services to eight former Soviet republics (Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan) would strengthen U.S. security and promote world peace, authorizing the Secretary of State to report this finding to Congress and publish it in the Federal Register.

Federal Register Open PDF 62 FR 13531

Impact dates

  1. Federal Register publication

Market exposure

Policy exposure mapping — not investment advice. Illustrative public companies are incomplete and not recommendations.

Sectors

Defense primes

Mechanisms

LicensingProcurement

Role pressure

  • ProtectiveDomestic producer — Eligibility determination opens export market for U.S. defense articles and services to eight NIS countries
  • MixedTrading-partner exporter — NIS countries gain access to U.S. defense articles but remain subject to AECA licensing and congressional notification requirements

Geographies

USOTHER

Exposure dates

  • — Federal Register publication

Illustrative public companies

Curated watchlist matches by sector/role — incomplete; not a recommendation.

BABoeingGDGeneral DynamicsLMTLockheed MartinNOCNorthrop GrummanRTXRTX

Confidence: medium · Policy alerts

Key directives

  • Find that furnishing defense articles and services to specified NIS countries strengthens U.S. security and promotes world peace
  • Report finding to Congress
  • Publish finding in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Determination takes effect upon signing March 11, 1997
  • Secretary of State authorized to report to Congress and publish in Federal Register

Near term (90d)

  • Federal Register publication completed March 21, 1997

Long term

  • Ongoing eligibility for defense articles and services under FAA and AECA

Risks & tensions

  • Post-Cold War arms transfer to Russia and former Soviet states carried proliferation and regional stability risks
  • Balancing engagement with Russia against NATO expansion tensions
  • Congressional oversight of arms exports to region with uncertain democratic trajectories
Presidential Determination: Eligibility of NIS Countries: Georgia, Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan To Be Furnished Defense Articles and Services Under the Foreign Assistance Act and the Arms Export Control Act · Executive Orders