Det 2021-02DeterminationBiden · D Quiet signal

Presidential Determination 2021-02

Emergency Presidential Determination on Refugee Admissions for Fiscal Year 2021

This determination revises the FY 2021 refugee admissions cap and regional allocations, superseding the Trump administration's earlier determination (PD 2021-02). It raises the total refugee ceiling to 15,000 and expands eligibility to include persons from Burma, DRC, Ethiopia, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, South Sudan, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba, Eurasia and the Baltics, Iraq, Honduras, Guatemala, and El Salvador, while requiring consistency with Biden's EO 14013 on refugee resettlement.

Impact dates

  1. Potential subsequent determination if 15,000 admissions reached before fiscal year end

  2. FY 2021 allocations apply through end of fiscal year (September 30, 2021)

Key directives

  • Revise FY 2021 refugee admissions allocations across six regional categories totaling 15,000
  • Authorize Secretary of State to use unallocated reserve and transfer unused allocations between categories after notifying Judiciary Committees
  • Expand in-country refugee processing eligibility to Cuba, Eurasia/Baltics, Iraq, Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador, and special embassy/NGO-referred cases
  • Require refugee resettlement consistency with EO 14013
  • Designate overseas refugee applicants as contributing to foreign policy interests under Migration and Refugee Assistance Act
  • Publish determination in Federal Register

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Revised FY 2021 refugee allocations take effect
  • PD 2021-02 superseded
  • Eligibility expansion for in-country processing activated

Near term (90d)

  • State Department implementation of revised regional allocations
  • Potential use of unallocated reserve and inter-category transfers

Long term

  • Possible subsequent determination to increase admissions if 15,000 cap reached before September 30, 2021
  • Integration with EO 14013 climate migration planning

Risks & tensions

  • Low 15,000 cap maintained from Trump-era policy despite Biden campaign pledge of 125,000, creating tension with progressive advocates
  • Regional allocation structure may not match actual emergent refugee flows
  • In-country processing expansion for Central America may face operational capacity constraints
  • Supersession of PD 2021-02 partially unwinds prior administration but preserves low numerical ceiling
Presidential Determination 2021-02: Emergency Presidential Determination on Refugee Admissions for Fiscal Year 2021 · Executive Orders