ExecutiveOrdersEO
DetDeterminationG.W. Bush · R Quiet signal

Presidential Determination

Presidential Determination on Major Drug Transit or Major Illicit Drug Producing Countries for Fiscal Year 2007

This determination identifies 20 countries as major drug transit or illicit drug producing countries for FY 2007, with Burma and Venezuela designated as having 'failed demonstrably' to meet international counternarcotics obligations. The document includes a national interest waiver for Venezuela to allow U.S. funding for democratic institution programs, and sets a 6-month review deadline for Bolivia's counternarcotics performance.

Federal Register Open PDF 71 FR 57865

Impact dates

  1. Review Bolivia's counternarcotics performance in specific areas

  2. Report to Congress on methamphetamine precursor chemical exporters and importers under CMEA

Key directives

  • Identify 20 countries as major drug transit or illicit drug producing countries
  • Designate Burma and Venezuela as having 'failed demonstrably'
  • Certify vital national interest for Venezuela democratic institution support
  • Submit report to Congress and publish in Federal Register
  • Report to Congress by March 1, 2007 on methamphetamine precursor chemicals
  • Review Bolivia performance within 6 months

Who is ordered

Timeline

Immediate

  • Burma and Venezuela designated as failing demonstrably
  • Venezuela national interest certification takes effect
  • 20 countries placed on Majors List

Near term (90d)

  • March 1, 2007 report to Congress on methamphetamine precursor chemicals due
  • Bolivia performance review within 6 months of determination (by approximately March 15, 2007)

Long term

  • Potential sanctions implications for Burma and Venezuela under FRAA
  • Ongoing counternarcotics cooperation frameworks with listed countries

Risks & tensions

  • Venezuela designation creates tension with simultaneous democracy support certification—policy tension between punishment and engagement
  • Bolivia 'zero cocaine, not zero coca' policy creates friction with U.S. eradication demands
  • Burma/Venezuela designations may trigger sanctions affecting broader diplomatic relations
  • Afghanistan opium economy threatens security and democratic legitimacy—vague accountability mechanism
Presidential Determination: Presidential Determination on Major Drug Transit or Major Illicit Drug Producing Countries for Fiscal Year 2007 · Executive Orders